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January 17, 2011 - Global surface temperatures in 2010
tied 2005 as the warmest on record, according to an
analysis released by researchers at NASA's Goddard
Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in
The difference is smaller than the uncertainty in
comparing the temperatures of recent years, putting them
into a statistical tie. In the new analysis, the next
warmest years are 1998, 2002, 2003, 2006 and 2007, which
are statistically tied for third warmest year. The GISS
records begin in 1880.
The analysis found 2010 approximately 1.34 F warmer than the average global surface temperature from 1951 to 1980. To measure climate change, scientists look at long-term trends. |
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The temperature trend, including data from 2010, shows the climate has warmed by approximately 0.36 F per decade since the late 1970s. "If the warming trend continues, as is expected, if greenhouse gases continue to increase, the 2010 record will not stand for long," said James Hansen, the director of GISS. The analysis produced at GISS is compiled from weather data from more than 1000 meteorological stations around the world, satellite observations of sea surface temperature and Antarctic research station measurements.
A computer
program uses the data to calculate temperature anomalies, the
difference between surface temperature in a given month and the
average temperature for the same period during 1951 to 1980.
This three-decade period acts as a baseline for the analysis.
The
resulting temperature record closely matches others
independently produced by the Met Office Hadley Centre in the
"Global
temperature is rising as fast in the past decade as in the prior
two decades, despite year-to-year fluctuations associated with
the El Nino-La Nina cycle of tropical ocean temperature," Hansen
and colleagues reported in the Dec. 14, 2010, issue of Reviews
of Geophysics.
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